¿En cuánto cerrará el dólar en 2022? Este es el precio previsto por analistas

The Banco de la República released this Friday its monthly survey of expectations in which it was known that by the end of this year, analysts expect the Market Representative Rate (TRM) to be at $4,204.

By the end of this month, They see it at $4,464, and for the same month of the following year it would drop to $4,116.

By the end of 2023, experts believe that the dollar will devalue against the peso to $4,056, while by the seventh month of 2024 they believe it will drop from $4,000 to $3,984.

And it is that the dollar in Colombia closed a week that was marked due to sharp falls in the last three days, after knowing the inflation of the United States in June (which reached an all-time high of 9.1% per year), a fact that kept the market on the lookout for several days.

According to the records of the Colombian Stock Exchange (BVC), The US currency closed this Friday at 4,359 pesos, after opening the day at 4,450 pesos, that is, he only lost 91 pesos.

This currency has not traded below 4,400 pesos since July 7, when the currency had a closing price of 4,395 pesos. From that day on, an upward path began that ended up taking the dollar to 4,625 pesos on July 12, but then a downward trend began again. In two days the dollar lost 266 pesos.

Likewise, by the end of 2022 they believe that inflation will be at 9.32%, and will progressively drop to 5.86% in July 2023, and that year it would end at 5.33%. By July 2024, the CPI variation would return to 4.27%.

Inflation continues to be the indicator that most worries Colombians, especially since it is not seen to begin to give way quickly and, on the contrary, it will have effects such as the increase in the price of gasoline, the impact of winter on food and the increase in the price of the dollar that will push it up.

The director of Dane, Juan Daniel Oviedo, points out that, although there are food prices that have given way, such as potatoes, the increase in inputs can take them back up.

Energy continues to increase on the Caribbean coast due to the change in distribution service operators and the investments they are making in the region. The dollar and its increase will affect services such as gas and imported services, such as vehicles.

Oviedo believes that the slowdown effect of inflation will run for at least a couple of months in the second half.

Currently, “we are seeing levels of inflation that we had seen 22 years ago in the Colombian economy. In this intermediate step, it is important to highlight that we had a very important inflation peak that was much more recent, but that it was not so intense, which was the one that generated the La Niña Phenomenon and the truckers’ strike of 2016, which led to inflation to have a maximum at that time of 8.97%. So we are going back practically 22 years in the behavior of annual inflation”, he said in an interview with SEMANA recently.

In turn, they believe that the Banco de la República’s intervention rate for this month will rise to 8.69%, end the year at 9.21%, and would drop again until March of next year.